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UK Inflation Slows, Oil Price Rise Creates New BoE Challenge

October 1, 2025

UK inflation eased slightly, but a sudden oil price surge has raised new concerns for the Bank of England as it balances growth, rates, and stability.

UK inflation slows but oil price surge challenges Bank of England

The latest UK economic data has revealed that inflation slowed modestly, offering some relief to consumers and policymakers. However, a sharp rise in global oil prices has created new challenges for the Bank of England (BoE) as it navigates its monetary policy path.

According to the figures released, inflation in September showed a slight downward trend compared with previous months, driven by softer food prices and moderated housing costs. Economists initially viewed the data as a positive signal that the Bank’s cycle of rate hikes had begun to cool price pressures.

Yet, the optimism was short-lived as global energy markets saw a surge in oil prices, driven by supply concerns, OPEC+ production decisions, and geopolitical tensions. Brent crude prices climbed above key thresholds, immediately raising fears of imported inflation in the UK economy.

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